Arizona Forecast: Warmer, Drier Winter Expected in 2025-2026
Arizona is bracing for a warmer and drier than usual winter season in 2025-2026, potentially exacerbating ongoing drought conditions and increasing wildfire risk, according to new predictions released today.
The forecast, based on analysis of Pacific Ocean temperatures and historical weather data, indicates that temperatures across central and southern Arizona will likely run three degrees or more above average. Precipitation is expected to be significantly below normal, ranging from 50-74% lower than usual. While January may bring a brief respite with increased rainfall, conditions are predicted to return to warm and dry throughout February, potentially nearing record high temperatures for the month.
Northern Arizona is expected to experience below-average snowfall, though early and late-season storms are possible. Neighboring states, such as Utah and Colorado, are also anticipating reduced snowfall, with Colorado potentially receiving 1-7 inches less than average and Utah 3-8 inches less. AccuWeather utilizes data gathered from satellites across 40 countries, combined with historical averages and current weather patterns, to formulate its long-range forecasts. Understanding seasonal weather patterns is crucial for resource management and public safety, especially in a state already facing water scarcity. For more information on Arizona’s climate, visit the Arizona Department of Environmental Quality.
AccuWeather acknowledges the inherent challenges in predicting seasonal weather patterns, noting that accuracy can vary due to the extended timeframe involved. Officials advise residents to stay informed about evolving conditions and prepare accordingly, especially regarding potential wildfire hazards. You can find more information about preparing for wildfire season here.
