A recent poll indicates a significant shift in Hungarian politics, with the opposition Tisza party now leading Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz by 16 percentage points among the general population.
The survey, conducted by Medián in the latter half of March, shows that among decided voters, Tisza’s lead widens to 23 percentage points.
According to the poll, 46 percent of respondents would vote for Tisza, while 30 percent would support Fidesz. Among those who have made up their minds, Tisza commands 58 percent support compared to Fidesz’s 35 percent.
Political Analyst Suggests Election Outcome is All But Decided
Political analyst Gábor Török stated on Facebook that, if the poll is accurate, the question is no longer who will win, but by what margin. “According to Medián, the elections are truly decided,” Török said.
However, other experts caution that the published polls only reflect support for party lists. Hungary utilizes a mixed electoral system, with only 93 of the 199 parliamentary seats filled from party lists. The remaining 106 are elected in single-member constituencies.
Budapest – A new poll released Wednesday, March 25, 2026, suggests a potential major upset in Hungary’s upcoming elections, as the opposition Tisza party has significantly widened its lead over the long-ruling Fidesz party. The findings come as Hungary continues to navigate complex geopolitical challenges and internal political divisions.
The Medián agency’s survey, conducted in the second half of March, found that only two parties – Tisza and Fidesz – are likely to gain representation in the new parliament, with other parties failing to surpass the 5 percent threshold required for entry.
