NOS Nieuws•
Dutch intelligence agencies are warning of increased “hybrid activities” originating from Russia, including espionage, cyberattacks, and acts of sabotage. The warning comes from a novel report released today by the AIVD, and MIVD.
The agencies cite a pattern of similar incidents across Europe, including arson, disruption of air traffic with drones, damage to undersea cables, and the shipment of incendiary packages. These actions are raising concerns about escalating tensions and a willingness by Russia to operate outside traditional norms of conflict.
Attribution for these attacks is often difficult to definitively prove. However, intelligence services have observed a clear increase in the number of incidents. “Various Russian hybrid activities have also been observed in the Netherlands, including preparations for sabotage,” the report states.
An AIVD spokesperson pointed to a recent case involving a man allegedly tasked with sending two packages to the United States and Canada on behalf of Russian intelligence as an example of these activities.
Sowing Discord
While the threat of hybrid warfare isn’t new, European countries have seen a rise in these types of attacks since the fall of 2023. Beginning in 2024, Russia demonstrated a “greater willingness to take risks,” and the actions became more violent, according to the report. The focus also shifted from online activity to targeting the physical environment.
The agencies believe Russia is pursuing these actions for several reasons, including attempts to influence and undermine political processes, sow division, and disrupt aid to Ukraine. The move underscores Russia’s ongoing efforts to destabilize the region and challenge Western interests.
The AIVD and MIVD anticipate that Russia will continue to engage in hybrid activities and attacks against European countries. The agencies are urging government, businesses, and knowledge institutions to remain vigilant. “Because if vital sectors fail, it can seriously disrupt society,” they warn.
