Sova Harris Poll: 6 Parties Predicted for Bulgarian Parliament

A new political landscape is emerging in Bulgaria, with “Progressive Bulgaria,” the coalition linked to former President Rumen Radev, holding a commanding lead in recent polling. According to a survey conducted by Sova Harris and released on April 9, 2026, 33.5% of voters would support the party if elections were held immediately.

The data reveals a significant gap between the leading coalition and its rivals. GERB currently trails with 19% support, while the “Continue the Change” – “Democratic Bulgaria” (PP-DB) alliance sits at 11.2%. This shift suggests a potential realignment of power within the national legislature.

Beyond the top three, the political field remains competitive. Analysts indicate that a new formation could surprise voters by securing a seat in the next parliament. Specifically, the party “Siyanie” is currently positioned with a chance to surpass the 4% electoral threshold.

the survey predicts that six parties are likely to enter the new parliament. This fragmented result underscores the volatility of the current political climate, as “Progressive Bulgaria” maintains a substantial lead over GERB.

The race is also being shaped by aggressive campaigning. Reports indicate that both the PP-DB alliance and Rumen Radev’s “Progressive Bulgaria” have invested the most heavily in media advertising to attract voters. These financial investments highlight the high stakes for the parties as they compete for dominance.

The latest figures, which show 33.5% for Radev, 19% for GERB, and 11.2% for PP-DB, point toward a parliament where coalition-building will be essential for stability. The entry of multiple parties, as noted by Sova Harris’s projections, further complicates the road to forming a government.