US Intel: Iran Regime Unlikely to Fall, Strengthening Instead

U.S. Intelligence assessments indicate the Iranian regime is unlikely to be overthrown in the wake of recent attacks, despite initial expectations, according to reports. The assessment comes as the conflict continues to unfold and raises questions about the long-term strategy of the U.S. Military campaign in the region.

The Washington Post reported that U.S. Intelligence officials concluded the regime has remained resilient despite the strikes, and has even strengthened its position. Sources predict a hardening of the regime, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps expected to consolidate power.

Prior to the military operation, President Donald Trump received intelligence briefings that presented a realistic assessment of the situation, the newspaper reported. Intelligence agencies warned Trump that the Revolutionary Guard could emerge stronger from a conflict.

“What happened was foreseen. He was told beforehand,” an anonymous source told the Washington Post.

The source also indicated the U.S. Does not have a long-term war plan and aims to conclude the conflict quickly.

No Sign of Internal Collapse

A Western security source speaking to the Washington Post said that decision-makers within Iran appear confused and are struggling to communicate with one another. However, there are currently no indications of an internal collapse of the regime.

Pressure on Other Nations Regarding Revolutionary Guard

As the Revolutionary Guard is expected to gain influence, the Trump administration is taking additional steps. The U.S. State Department has begun pressuring other countries to designate the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and Hezbollah in Lebanon as terrorist organizations.

Diplomats have been instructed to convey this request to the highest levels of government in their host countries.

The Washington Post also reported that Gulf nations are becoming increasingly frustrated with the Trump administration as the conflict continues. A senior official from a Gulf country told the newspaper, “They started this war for Israel and then left us to face the attacks alone.”