Recent comments from a Saudi geological society official have prompted discussion regarding potential volcanic activity in the Medina region of Saudi Arabia, an area not historically known for frequent eruptions. The official outlined a range of possible scenarios, from minor vents to events mirroring recent activity in Ethiopia, during a televised appearance on the Rotana Khalijia program “Ya Hala” on November 26th.While experts emphasize that the likelihood of a major eruption remains low, ongoing seismic monitoring is vital given the potential impact on the densely populated region and crucial pilgrimage sites .
A Saudi geological society official has outlined potential scenarios for a volcanic eruption near Medina, Saudi Arabia, sparking discussion about the region’s geological activity.
The scenarios, discussed during an appearance on the Rotana Khalijia program “Ya Hala,” range from minor eruptions to events similar in scale to recent volcanic activity in Ethiopia. While the likelihood of a major eruption is considered low, experts are monitoring the area for any changes.
According to the official, one possible scenario involves a “weak to moderate” eruption in the north or northwest of Medina. “Based on the existing seismic data, this is a possibility,” he said, “but we cannot pinpoint the exact location. This type of volcanic cone doesn’t typically produce a large eruption, but rather simple volcanic vents that could cause some alarm.”
A second, less probable scenario, envisions an eruption of medium to large magnitude, comparable to the volcanic event that occurred in Ethiopia. However, the official noted that current studies suggest the region isn’t presently conducive to such an eruption.
The third scenario, described as rare, involves a recurrence of an eruption similar to one that took place in the area in 1256 AD. “This is a difficult scenario to occur,” the official stated, suggesting a repeat event in the same location is unlikely.
The discussion comes as geological monitoring in the region continues, and highlights the potential for volcanic activity in areas not traditionally associated with frequent eruptions.
