An anonymous trader on the Polymarket platform earned over $436,000 by correctly betting that Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro would be removed from office by January 31, 2026, according to multiple Bulgarian news outlets.
The trader placed a wager of approximately $32,000 on the outcome shortly before former U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Truth Social that Maduro had been detained by Delta Force.
The successful bet was made on Polymarket, a Recent York-based cryptocurrency platform, where the user registered in December 2025. The payout exceeded $400,000, with reports specifying the amount as over $436,000.
The case has raised concerns about potential leaks of classified information and the regulation of prediction markets, particularly following high-stakes bets tied to sensitive geopolitical events.
This development comes amid a U.S. Government offer of up to $50 million for information leading to Maduro’s arrest, a reward doubled from $25 million in August 2025 by the Department of Justice and State Department, which labels Maduro as one of the world’s largest narcotics traffickers.
